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NCHR Comments on Risks and Benefits of Menopause Hormone Therapy

The National Center for Health Research (NCHR) appreciates the opportunity to provide comments in response to the FDA’s request for public input on the risks and benefits of menopause hormone therapy (MHT), following the July 17, 2025, Expert Panel meeting and the opening of docket FDA-2025-N-2589.

NCHR is a nonprofit think tank committed to bridging the gap between scientific evidence and public policy to protect the health and safety of patients and consumers. Our work focuses on ensuring that medical and consumer products are evaluated based on rigorous, independent evidence, with particular attention to how benefits and risks may differ across patient populations, including women and men at different life stages.

We commend the FDA for seeking broad stakeholder input to update the labeling of hormone therapy products for menopause to reflect current scientific understanding. Given the widespread use of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) for symptom relief, it is vital that labeling clearly communicates nuanced risks and benefits so that women and their healthcare providers can make informed, evidence-based decisions.

Local (Vaginal) Hormones vs Systemic

Randomized controlled trials including the REJOICE trial of a vaginal estradiol soft-gel capsule, the MsFLASH Vaginal Estradiol Trial, and a phase III trial of DHEA (dehydroepiandrosterone-  Prasterone) along with systematic reviews demonstrate that low-dose vaginal estrogen and DHEA provide symptomatic relief of dyspareunia, dryness, and recurrent UTIs without increasing serum estradiol above placebo and systematic reviews demonstrate that low-dose vaginal estrogen and DHEA provide symptomatic relief of dyspareunia, dryness, and recurrent UTIs without increasing serum estradiol above placebo levels [1–3]. DHEA is a precursor steroid that can be converted intracellularly into estrogens and androgens in vaginal tissue, improving vaginal epithelium thickness, elasticity, and lubrication without raising systemic estradiol levels [4-6].

The Nurses’ Health Study followed postmenopausal women for up to 18 years, during which a subset reported vaginal estrogen use at one or more time points. Analyses compared ever-users versus never-users over that follow-up period and found no increased risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, venous thromboembolism, breast cancer, endometrial cancer, or other invasive cancers [7]. This study did not determine whether there were differences in risks for women who used vaginal estrogen for a longer vs. shorter period of time during those 18 years. 

The Women’s Health Initiative Observational Study (WHI-OS) had a median follow-up of 7.2 years. Within that timeframe, Crandall et al. reported that women who used vaginal estrogen for a median of 2 years did not show higher risks of breast, endometrial, or cardiovascular events compared with non-users [8]. While 2–7 years of use and follow-up are informative, longer use and longer follow-up would provide greater reassurance about safety, since cancer usually is more likely to develop after longer-term exposures and longer latency periods.

Pharmacokinetic studies further support these findings, showing serum estradiol levels remain within postmenopausal ranges during treatment [9].

There are several studies of the impact of vaginal estrogen on breast cancer survivors who took endocrine therapy to reduce the recurrence of breast cancer. It is important to emphasize that women with estrogen receptor–positive breast cancer, which is the most common type, are typically prescribed 5–10 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy (tamoxifen or aromatase inhibitors) specifically to block estrogen [11-14]. Prescribing additional estrogen, even at local low doses, may undermine the benefits of their cancer hormonal treatment [12].

The evidence for vaginal estrogen for women taking endocrine therapy for cancer is mixed and limited by lack of stratification evaluating frequency of use or comparing long-term and short-term use:

  • Streff et al. studied women on aromatase inhibitors using Estring and found a statistically significant but modest increase in serum estradiol (from undetectable to ~10–20 pmol/L in some women), suggesting partial reversal of estrogen suppression and warranting individualized decision-making [10].
  • Cold et al., in a large Danish cohort, reported that vaginal estrogen was associated with increased recurrence risk when combined with aromatase inhibitors, but not when used concurrently with tamoxifen [15].
  • McVicker et al., a UK population-based study of more than 49,000 cancer survivors, reported no reduction in survival among vaginal estrogen ever-users compared with never-users. However, this study did not stratify by ER status or by concurrent use of tamoxifen or aromatase inhibitors, making it difficult to draw useful conclusions about the possible risks [11].

Taken together, these findings underscore the need for better research evaluating different levels of exposure to low-dose vaginal estrogen, and for careful oncologist–patient consultation before initiating vaginal hormones in women with ER-positive disease, particularly those receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy.

Black Box Warning 

The current Black Box warning on low-dose vaginal estrogen extrapolates systemic WHI trial data from women who were aged 50–79 years at enrollment (mean age ~63), many of whom initiated therapy more than 10 years after menopause and had higher baseline cardiometabolic risk, to local therapies with minimal absorption [16]. Although research evidence from WHI-OS and the Nurses’ Health Study are limited by not evaluating the impact of long-term low-dose vaginal hormone use, as noted above, the results are frequently reported as showing no increased risk of breast cancer, endometrial cancer, cardiovascular disease, or VTE among users of low-dose vaginal estrogen versus non-users. Similarly, a systematic review of randomized trials (most lasting 12 months or less) and observational studies of low-dose vaginal estrogens found very low rates of endometrial hyperplasia and cancer [6]. Serum estradiol levels generally remained within postmenopausal ranges during treatment [9], although small increases were observed in some aromatase-inhibitor–treated survivors using a vaginal ring [10]. 

Patients deserve labels on low-dose vaginal estrogen that accurately reflect the best research data.  Although long-term clinical trials are not available, the evidence to date indicates a safer product than the current label implies.  Women who want to use low-dose vaginal estrogen to treat GSM symptoms, recurrent UTIs, progression to urosepsis, and atrophic changes,  should be aware of the known benefits as well as the limited number of years those results are based on [17, 18]. Recent research indicates that vaginal estrogen is an effective non-antibiotic strategy to prevent recurrent UTIs, which could lower antibiotic use that results in  antimicrobial resistance [19].

Systemic Hormone Therapy for Menopause 

Despite controversies about Systemic MHT, there are two areas of widespread agreement:

Temporary Benefit for Osteoporosis: MHT prevents fractures only while therapy is continued; benefits wane or disappear after discontinuation [10].
Endometrial Cancer: Systemic estrogen without progestin increases endometrial cancer risk; progestins mitigate this [10].

Impact on Dementia and Cardiovascular Health. In contrast, claims that systemic MHT prevents dementia or cardiovascular disease are not supported by the most recent, well-designed trials. The Women’s Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled ancillary trial of the WHI that enrolled postmenopausal women aged 65 and older [20]. It found that women randomized to combined estrogen plus progestin had a statistically significant doubled risk of probable dementia compared with placebo, where ‘probable dementia’ was defined by DSM-IV clinical criteria after abnormal screening on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MS). WHI also showed no reduction in coronary heart disease (CHD) and instead reported a statistically significant increased risks of stroke and venous thromboembolism (VTE) [21]. Statements at the FDA Expert Panel describing MHT as “very safe” and protective against dementia and heart disease rely on studies with major methodological weaknesses, and have findings contradicted by more recent, better designed studies. High-quality evidence from RCTs and meta-analyses, including a 2015 Cochrane review [22], confirms systemic MHT does not prevent CHD or dementia. Therefore, labeling should explicitly state those risks as well as: ‘Not indicated for prevention of dementia, cognitive decline, coronary heart disease, or stroke.’

Examples of the flaws of the studies quoted in support of claims of preventing dementia or cardiovascular disease include the following:

Paganini-Hill and Henderson (1996): This case-control study used death certificates to ascertain Alzheimer’s disease and retrospective exposure assessment, with minimal adjustment for confounders and high potential for selection and survival bias. Findings were later contradicted by WHIMS randomized controlled trial results [20,23].

Simpkins (2012): This is a narrative review of rodent and mechanistic studies. It therefore cannot establish clinical benefit for dementia prevention in postmenopausal women [24].

Saleh (2023; EPAD): This cross-sectional analysis of the European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Dementia (EPAD) cohort focused on APOE4 carriers, which is a group at higher genetic risk for dementia. Among these women, only 29 were using HRT, while the remainder of the APOE4 carriers were not. The small study was non-randomized, was subject to healthy user bias and residual confounding, and relied on surrogate outcomes such as cognition and imaging markers rather than incident dementia. Therefore, no causal inference is appropriate [25].

Bagger (2005): This was a post-hoc subgroup analysis of the Danish Osteoporosis Prevention Study (DOPS). Although the parent trial enrolled over 2,000 women, only 333 underwent cognitive testing, creating a small sample to be analyzed. Results suggested cognitive benefit with early HRT initiation, but the analysis was underpowered, involved multiple comparisons with wide confidence intervals, and was potentially influenced by conflicts of interest. The findings were not replicated in later, larger randomized trials such as WHIMS  [26].

Barrett Connor (1991) and Nurses’ Health Study (2000): These observational cohorts adjusted for some confounding variables but remained subject to  substantial healthy user bias, since hormone therapy users were generally healthier, of higher socioeconomic status, and had better access to care. These studies were also limited by confounding by indication and time related biases. The apparent cardioprotective signals were refuted by WHI randomized findings [22, 27-28].

Breast Cancer Risks.

Breast cancer risk with MHT is complex. WHI showed combined estrogen + progestin increases incidence, while estrogen-only may reduce risk in women who had a  prior hysterectomy [21, 29]. Duration and timing are key: Brien et al. pooled analysis found that more than 2 years of estrogen + progestin was linked to increased ER-negative and triple-negative cancers in younger women [30]. Zhang et al. found that women with dense breasts using MHT were more likely to develop interval cancers, which are more aggressive and often ER-negative [31].

Recommendations for Boxed Warnings

The FDA has precedent for formulation-specific warnings (e.g., lidocaine topical vs systemic) and we recommend that for MHT as well. We recommend retaining boxed warnings for all estrogen-containing products, but they should differ for systemic and local therapies.

Low-dose Vaginal Estrogen

Boxed warnings for low-dose vaginal products should not be based on systemic MHT but instead should state that long-term RCTs are lacking, and that unknown risks remain regarding prolonged use and long-term follow-up. The boxed warning should say that relatively short-term studies have not demonstrated excess cardiovascular or cancer risk. This labeling should emphasize caution for ER+ breast cancer survivors whether or not they are currently taking hormonal therapy for breast cancer.

Systemic Hormone Therapy for Menopause

FDA should retain the current boxed warning for systemic hormonal therapy for menopause, with a notation that there is specific information included in the regular narrative section on warnings and contraindications.  

Systemic Therapy is Not Preventive. Labeling for systemic MHT should include an explicit statement that it is not indicated for prevention of dementia, cognitive decline, coronary heart disease, or stroke. It should specify that it reduces osteoporosis temporarily, while the woman is using MHT only. The label should cite WHI and WHIMS as the highest-quality data.

Breast Cancer Risks: Nuanced and Subtype-Specific. The label should be updated to reflect the following:

  • Increased incidence with combined estrogen-progestin (WHI).
  • Reduced or neutral risk with estrogen-only in women with prior hysterectomy.
  • Increased risk of ER-negative and triple-negative cancers after more than 2 years of combined use in younger women [30].
  • Higher likelihood of interval cancers in women with dense breasts using MHT [31].
  • Advise tailored screening and shared decision-making for these higher-risk women.

The warning section should also indicate the following:

  • Postmenopausal bleeding warrants evaluation for endometrial pathology.
  • Breast cancer survivors should consult with their oncologists before using MHT.

Evidence Gaps and Future Research

The label should acknowledge the absence of high-quality RCTs stratified by dose, route, formulation, and duration.

In conclusion, we recommend the following FDA Actions

  1. Revise boxed warnings to distinguish systemic from local therapies [1-3,7-8, 15-16, 32].
  2. Add an explicit “Not preventive” statement that systemic MHT is not indicated for dementia, cognitive decline, CHD, or stroke [20-21,23-28,33].
  3. Update breast cancer sections with regimen- and subtype-specific risks, including young-onset and dense breast findings [15,29,31].
  4. Add guidance for breast cancer patients and survivors: Avoid vaginal estrogen during cancer hormonal therapy unless benefits outweigh risks; consider alternatives such as DHEA or ospemifene [8-11].
  5. Revise Medication Guides to differentiate between systemic vs local therapies, summarizing benefits, risks, and unknowns.
  6. Provide guidance to industry to conduct RCTs to clarify comparative safety by dose, route, formulation, and duration.

Thank you for the opportunity to share our views. We urge the FDA to hold Advisory Committee meetings prior to revising the labeling, and that the Committee members represent a diversity of views based on scientific and statistical expertise free of conflicts of interest associated with pharmaceutical funding or medical practice. Women deserve accurate, evidence-based labeling that distinguishes risk profiles of different MHT products and promotes informed, patient-centered decision-making free of bias.  We welcome the opportunity to work with the FDA on this important issue, and can be reached at info@center4research.org

References

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  11. McVicker, L., Labeit, A. M., Coupland, C. A., Hicks, B., Hughes, C., McMenamin, Ú., … & Cardwell, C. R. (2024). Vaginal estrogen therapy use and survival in females with breast cancer. JAMA oncology10(1), 103-108.
  12. Davies, C., Pan, H., Godwin, J., Gray, R., Arriagada, R., Raina, V., … & Peto, R. (2013). Long-term effects of continuing adjuvant tamoxifen to 10 years versus stopping at 5 years after diagnosis of oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer: ATLAS, a randomised trial. The Lancet381(9869), 805-816.
  13. Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group (EBCTCG). Aromatase inhibitors versus tamoxifen in early breast cancer: patient-level meta-analysis of the randomized trials. Lancet. 2015;386(10001):1341–1352.
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  15. Cold, S., Cold, F., Jensen, M. B., Cronin-Fenton, D., Christiansen, P., & Ejlertsen, B. (2022). Systemic or Vaginal Hormone Therapy After Early Breast Cancer: A Danish Observational Cohort Study. Journal of the National Cancer Institute114(10), 1347–1354. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/djac112
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    Accessed on September 22-24, 2025
  19. Danan, E. R., Sowerby, C., Ullman, K. E., Ensrud, K., Forte, M. L., Zerzan, N., Anthony, M., Kalinowski, C., Abdi, H. I., Friedman, J. K., Landsteiner, A., Greer, N., Nardos, R., Fok, C., Dahm, P., Butler, M., Wilt, T. J., & Diem, S. (2024). Hormonal Treatments and Vaginal Moisturizers for Genitourinary Syndrome of Menopause : A Systematic Review. Annals of internal medicine177(10), 1400–1414. https://doi.org/10.7326/ANNALS-24-00610
  20. Shumaker, S. A., Legault, C., Rapp, S. R., Thal, L., Wallace, R. B., Ockene, J. K., … & WHIMS Investigators. (2003). Estrogen plus progestin and the incidence of dementia and mild cognitive impairment in postmenopausal women: the Women’s Health Initiative Memory Study: a randomized controlled trial. Jama289(20), 2651-2662.
  21. Rossouw, J. E., Anderson, G. L., Prentice, R. L., LaCroix, A. Z., Kooperberg, C., Stefanick, M. L., … & Ockene, J. (2002). Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results From the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. Jama288(3), 321-333.
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  29. Chlebowski, R. T., Anderson, G. L., Gass, M., Lane, D. S., Aragaki, A. K., Kuller, L. H., … & WHI Investigators. (2010). Estrogen plus progestin and breast cancer incidence and mortality in postmenopausal women. Jama304(15), 1684-1692.
  30. O’Brien, K. M., House, M. G., Goldberg, M., Jones, M. E., Weinberg, C. R., de Gonzalez, A. B., Bertrand, K. A., Blot, W. J., DeHart, J. C., Couch, F. J., Garcia-Closas, M., Giles, G. G., Kirsh, V. A., Kitahara, C. M., Koh, W. P., Park, H. L., Milne, R. L., Palmer, J. R., Patel, A. V., Rohan, T. E., … Sandler, D. P. (2025). Hormone therapy use and young-onset breast cancer: a pooled analysis of prospective cohorts included in the Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group. The Lancet. Oncology26(7), 911–923. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(25)00211-6
  31. Zhang, Y., Rodriguez, J., Mao, X., Grassmann, F., Tapia, J., Eriksson, M., … & Czene, K. (2025). Incidence and risk factors of interval and screen-detected breast cancer. JAMA oncology, 11(5), 519-527.
  32. Hickey, T. E., Selth, L. A., Chia, K. M., Laven-Law, G., Milioli, H. H., Roden, D., … & Tilley, W. D. (2021). The androgen receptor is a tumor suppressor in estrogen receptor–positive breast cancer. Nature medicine27(2), 310-320.
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    Accessed on September 22-24,2025. 

Oral Testimony of Dr. Diana M. Zuckerman, Examining Policies to Enhance Seniors’ Access to Breakthrough Medical Technologies

September 18, 2025, Energy & Commerce Subcommittee on Health 


Chairman Griffith, Ranking Member DeGette, Chairman Guthrie, Ranking Member Pallone, and distinguished members of the Committee, thank you for the invitation to testify. I’m Dr. Diana Zuckerman, president of the National Center for Health Research (NCHR), a nonprofit think tank that uses research to improve the quality of medical care in the United States.  

I was previously a faculty member at Vassar and Yale, a research director at Harvard, and most important, a Committee staffer in the House and Senate. 

Both the Breakthrough Devices Act and the Nancy Gardner Sewell Act require Medicare coverage for specific medical devices.  Keep in mind that the standard for Medicare coverage is “reasonable and necessary” for Medicare patients. FDA safety and effectiveness standards are not specific to Medicare-age patients. 

FDA requires prescription drugs be proven safe and effective, almost always based on patients in clinical trials. In contrast, FDA requires less than 5% of medical devices to be tested in clinical trials, while more than 95% go through a less stringent review called the 510(k) pathway. Those devices are cleared for market if the device is “substantially equivalent” to a device that’s already on the market, even though that older device also wasn’t required to be proven safe or effective in a clinical trial. 

Medicare almost always pays for prescription drugs approved by FDA. It does not pay for all medical devices, especially if there are no clinical trials or evidence that they are safe or effective for Medicare patients. 

When I served on CMS’ Advisory Committee that recommends whether products should be covered by Medicare, I saw many devices were not covered because they had never been studied on Medicare-age patients. Age is important for implants and many other devices because the older we are, the more likely we are to have chronic health conditions that make surgery, anesthesia, and other treatments riskier. 

Devices are designated as breakthrough before scientific evidence is available, based on the FDA’s belief that the device will be more effective than any other available devices. But if completed studies show the device is not more effective than other devices, it will still be sold as breakthrough devices.

Most of the 160 breakthrough devices available in the U.S. are therapeutic devices to treat a disease or condition. Thirty-eight percent of these treatment devices cleared the 510(k) review as substantially equivalent to devices already on the market.  Of the 34 distinct 510(k) devices that are relevant to patients 65 and over, 10 (29%) were studied in clinical trials that were listed in ClinicalTrials.gov, although the law requires these types of studies to be listed on that website.  

Most of those 10 devices have not yet publicly reported whether any of the patients studied were 65 and older. It is impossible to determine how many of those 10 devices included studies of sufficient numbers of patients ages 65 and older to be able to conclude that they would be considered reasonable and necessary for Medicare coverage.  

The other 55% of breakthrough 510(k) devices either had nonclinical data such as animal or mechanical data or had some kind of clinical data that was not a clinical trial. While some of those studies may provide very useful information, it will not be possible to conclude the data are relevant to patients over 65, who often have greater risks and fewer benefits from medical interventions. 

59 other breakthrough treatment devices went through the more stringent PMA or De Novo reviews and many were studied in clinical trials. However, numerous studies were small and had no placebo or comparison group.  Many studies did not include Medicare-aged patients or have not yet publicly reported the number of patients studied who were 65 or older. 

Nancy Gardner Sewell Medicare Multi-Cancer Early Detection Screening Coverage Act

As a cancer survivor, I appreciate that the goal of the Nancy Gardner Sewell Screening bill is to save lives. Multi-cancer early detection tests are promising, but they’re not ready for prime time. The most recent research has concluded that the existing tests are subject to bias, miss most early cancers in people who do not have symptoms, and may provide false positives to most patients.[2] In one of the tests, a test result indicating cancer was correct only 4% of the time.

  A test with many false positives, where most patients who are told they may have cancer do not have cancer, causes anxiety and results in additional testing that may be painful, harmful, expensive, time-consuming, and stressful. A test with many false negatives, in which patients are told they do not have cancer when they actually do, is likely to result in patients who ignore signs and symptoms of cancer, thus delaying needed treatment.  

NCI recently launched the Vanguard Study of 24,000 people ages 45-75. The goals are to determine how accurate these tests are and whether any of the tests save lives. As stated in the study in Annals of Internal Medicine, it is unclear whether MCED tests “detect cancer types at later, untreatable stages or whether they detect very early-stage precancerous lesions that might never have developed into cancer.”

If in the future these tests are proven to have benefits that outweigh the risks for Medicare patients, then I strongly urge that the age restrictions be deleted from the bill. Age restrictions set a dangerous precedent for Medicare coverage decisions and would cause an uproar among patients who are excluded from coverage for reasons that are not scientific and will be perceived as unfair.

Conclusions

Both these bills are intended to help Medicare patients by increasing their access to medical devices. However, in both cases there is a lack of evidence that determines which of these devices have benefits that outweigh the risks for Medicare patients.  The goals are wonderful but requiring Medicare to pay for devices not proven to help its beneficiaries is not the best way to help patients. 


  1. Zuckerman D.M., Brown P. & Das A. (2014) Lack of Publicly Available Scientific Evidence on the Safety and Effectiveness of Implanted Medical Devices, JAMA Internal Medicine, 174(11): 1781-1787.  
  2. Kahwati, L. C., Avenarius, M., Brouwer, L., Crossnohere, N. L., Doubeni, C. A., Miller, C., Siddiqui, M., Voisin, C., Wines, R. C., & Jonas, D. E. (2025). Multicancer Detection Tests for Screening. Annals of Internal Medicine. https://doi.org/10.7326/ANNALS-25-01877

NCHR Public Comment on Improving the Generic Drug User Fee Act (GDUFA IV)

NCHR Public Comment on Improving the Generic Drug User Fee Act (GDUFA IV), August 11, 2025



Re: Reauthorization of GDUFA Amendments Public Comment from National Center for Health Research [
Docket No. FDA-2025-N-0873]

The National Center for Health Research is a nonprofit think tank that scrutinizes the safety and effectiveness of medical products, and we do not accept funding from companies that make those products or have any financial interest in our work.  Since our founding in 1999, we have focused on FDA policies and issues pertaining to the quality of medical care and are pleased to have the opportunity to share our views on improvements needed for GDUFA IV.

Our U.S. healthcare system relies on generic drugs and would be unaffordable without them. We wish Congressional appropriations would be sufficient to support all of the FDA’s essential work, but we know that the FDA needs user fees to ensure getting safe and effective medical products to market in a timely manner. However, speed is not the most important part of that equation.

In its summary of its request for public comments, the FDA stated that GDUFA is designed to facilitate timely access to safe and effective generic drugs for the public, by requiring that generic drug manufacturers and other relevant entities pay user fees to “finance critical and measurable generic drug program enhancements.” As described in the GDUFA III Commitment Letter, FDA committed to achieve certain performance goals, and to provide enhancements “designed to foster the development, assessment, and approval of complex generic products.”

Transparency

We appreciate the accomplishments of GDUFA III, but to achieve its stated goals GDUFA needs to be improved in ways that matter to patients and the U.S. healthcare system. We support recent HHS and FDA statements about transparency and about the need for the FDA to regulate industry, rather than to be influenced by unduly cozy relationships with industry.  An important first step would be for user fee negotiations to include patient, consumer, and public health advocates, instead of only representatives of industry and the FDA negotiating behind closed doors.  Unfortunately, all user fee negotiations have focused on what industry wants and needs and what they are willing to pay for, and not on what patients and consumers want and need. That needs to be improved, and no user fee programs are more important to patients, consumers, and healthcare in the U.S. than GDUFA.

All of us depend on generic drugs, whether taken for headaches or potentially deadly cancer or heart disease.  Patients have been told to trust that generic medications work, but if our experience with a specific generic drug is inferior to what we previously experienced with the brand name version of the drug, our trust in all generic drugs can be harmed. In some cases, problems with specific generic drugs have been well-documented. That has happened too often in recent years, and that is why patients’ and health professionals’ trust in generic drugs has eroded. GDUFA needs to explicitly show that user fees will focus on ensuring that generic drugs are truly equivalent to brand name treatments in all the ways that matter to patients.  Speed should be secondary, because when patients and health professionals realize that some generic drugs are ineffective or unsafe, it harms patients but also harms companies whose products are safe and effective.

Performance Goals

Performance goals need to be improved. Too few have been focused on safety or effectiveness.  We are glad that metrics have included the number of inspections and timeliness of inspections and follow-up warning letters, import alerts, and regulatory meetings, and those metrics should be continued.  However, they are not sufficient.

Last summer, the FDA determined that Synapse (a company in India) “faked and forged” data submitted to the FDA. FDA withdrew the bio-equivalency rating of 400 of their drugs, but they are apparently still on the market.  Neither patients nor pharmacists have access to the names of those drugs.  Why is that?  That decision is terribly unfair to patients, but it is also unfair to companies whose safe and effective generic medications are competing with those 400 drugs.  

More important, it is unfair to all generic companies that make excellent medications when patients don’t know which generic drugs they can trust, and which they can’t trust.

Valisure has also conducted research showing a sizable number of generic drugs are substandard, with doses that are too high, too low, or drugs that are contaminated or have other problems. That’s important information for consumers to know, so the FDA should follow-up on Valisure’s findings to get those drugs off the market.  However, it is equally important that the agency should be on the forefront of conducting that type of research, requiring recalls of those inferior drugs, and warning patients that those medications need to be replaced with those made by a different generic or brand name company. If the FDA does not have sufficient staff to do that, they should hire additional staff, and GDUFA should help to make that possible.

These are just a few examples of why post-market surveillance, pre-market and post-market inspections, and re-inspections are so important and why GDUFA should include funding for staff who will accomplish those quality performance goals.  GDUFA should include relevant metrics in the Commitment Letter that show that these problems are being addressed and that FDA can therefore ensure that generic drugs are truly safe and equivalent to brand name drugs. That’s the promise that GDUFA and the FDA have made to patients, and it needs to be kept.  

Here is an important list of the kinds of metrics that are missing from previous GDUFA Commitment Letters and should be included in FDA monitoring under GDUFA IV.  They are not new ideas; this is the exact same list that the FDA states are criteria for all generic drugs.  The FDA says they must be:

  • Pharmaceutically equivalent
  • Capable of making the drug correctly
  • Capable of making the drug consistently
  • The active ingredient is the same as the name brand and the same amount gets in the body
  • Inactive ingredients are safe
  • Drug does not break down over time

We appreciate the progress that has resulted in reducing the backlog of generic drug applications.  However, many patients and knowledgeable health professionals currently lack confidence in generic drugs, and in some cases their concerns are well-founded. To regain public trust, we respectfully urge the FDA to improve GDUFA by adding performance goals metrics that are focused on ensuring safety and equivalence in GDUFA IV in the ways recommended above.

We would welcome the opportunity to discuss these issues and answer any questions.  We can be contacted at info@center4research.org.

FDA ‘Expert Panels’ Raise Concerns of Evading Regulations, Ethics

Do panels cherry-pick experts and evidence that align with FDA leadership’s views?

by Rachael Robertson, July 24, 2025

Bypassing its standard pathways for scientific discussions, FDA has recently held a slew of so-called “expert panels” that sidestep legal procedures and ethics guardrails, raising concern about cherry-picking of experts and evidence.

The panels appear to be a new feature of Trump administration officials, and have no parallel in agency programs from years past, sources said. They’re usually moderated by FDA Commissioner Marty Makary, MD, MPH, and FDA principal deputy commissioner Sara Brenner, MD, MPH.

There have been about four panels so far: one on selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and pregnancy; another on hormone therapyopens in a new tab or window for menopause; one on infant formula ; and another on talc in food, drugs, and cosmetics.

Adriane Fugh-Berman, MD, director of PharmedOut, a project at Georgetown University Medical Center in Washington, D.C., said she suspects these expert panels “may be a run around advisory committees,” which are usually vetted, occupationally diverse, academically credentialed researchers who address a particular question.

Fugh-Berman told MedPage Today that most of the panelists at the menopause meeting, which she attended as an audience member, would not have met the criteria to serve on an advisory committee.

“There was no process for selection; they seem all to have been chosen by Makary,” Fugh-Berman said. “It was a parody.”

Steven Grossman, JD, an FDA regulatory and policy consultant, also weighed in on the menopause expert panel on his FDA Matters blogopens in a new tab or window. He noted that the panel quickly elevated an important topic, although it completely veered from the advisory committee system, which while not perfect, “has served FDA very well for many years.”

However, convening the expert panel broke many norms, and “poor adherence to process renders any conclusion highly suspect,” he wrote.

Regulatory Grey Zone

The Federal Advisory Committee Act requires that advisory committee meetings be announced in the Federal Register 15 days in advance and that meeting materials must be made public. A period of open comment where anyone can speak is also necessitated under this law, explained Sarah Wicks, JD, MPH, an associate at Hyman, Phelps & McNamara.

She noted these panels “don’t seem to fit squarely within the scope of the law.” So far, they have been announced just days in advance, with panelists selected behind closed doors.

“That doesn’t necessarily mean it’s wrong, it’s just more a question of what the intent of these meetings are, and how the information gained from these meetings [is] going to be used,” she told MedPage Today.

An HHS spokesperson told MedPage Today that these expert panels “are roundtable discussions with diverse panels of scientific experts that will review the latest scientific evidence, evaluate potential health risks, explore safer alternatives, and individual experts may offer their recommendations for regulatory action.”

[….]

 

A Less Transparent Process?

Diana Zuckerman, PhD, president of the National Center for Health Research in Washington, D.C., also attended the menopause expert panel, even though it was announced just days in advance.

“If people aren’t being given enough notice to attend, that’s a real problem,” she told MedPage Today.

The panel had a limited number of slots for in-person attendees, so many people who would have attended could not. Yet the room was full of supporters of the panelists, including some of their patients. Zuckerman suspected that some people were alerted to the meeting before others, though an FDA spokesperson did not answer MedPage Today’s question on whether that was the case.

Earlier in the day of the expert panel, Zuckerman was already at FDA in an advisory committee meeting hosted in a large room that ended before the expert panel, meaning there could have been space to host the menopause panel in a room with the capacity for anyone who wished to attend.

“It felt like they only wanted invited guests there in the same way that the panel was all invited to have a particular point of view,” Zuckerman said. “When you have a meeting where everybody’s selected to have a consistent point of view with each other and presumably with the commissioner, and nobody from the public is allowed to say a word, and most people from the public aren’t even allowed to be in the room, that’s … not the transparency that this FDA promised.”

The HHS spokesperson said the “fact that our rooms are filling up for the expert panels proves just how successful they are,” adding that the events are livestreamed for anyone to watch.

 

The spokesperson did not answer MedPage Today‘s specific questions about upcoming expert panels, if everyone is invited to attend the panel at the same time, or why the public is not permitted to speak.

Susan Mayne, PhD, a former director of the FDA’s Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition — who has served in three different administrations, including the first Trump term — and said she’s never seen FDA veer from established processes like this before.

For instance, Mayne, who regulated talc in cosmetics during her tenure at FDA, knew that one of the panelists at the talc meeting, Daniel William Cramer, MD, ScD, had been a paid expert witness in litigation against manufacturers who used talc in their products — a significant conflict of interest that wasn’t disclosed at the panel.

[….]

Zuckerman, who was in the room, noted that several panelists mentioned other ways they would financially benefit from the boxed warning being removed from hormone therapy labels — like having more business at their practice — that weren’t included in their disclosures.

[….]

By hosting these panels without following established FDA processes, Makary is acting “like a spokesperson rather than a commissioner,” Zuckerman said.

FDA Panel to Revisit Menopausal Hormone Therapy

DAVID LIM and LAUREN GARDNER, Politico;  July 15, 2025


MENOPAUSAL THERAPY IN FOCUS 

The FDA will hold a panel discussion Thursday on hormone therapy for menopausal women, a pet issue for Commissioner Marty Makary that’s separately garnered attention in the states and on social media.

The agency’s X post announcing the event billed it as a forum to “discuss treatments, education, and comprehensive care beyond symptom management.” In a video posted Monday afternoon, Makary said the meeting would “address the evidence and medical dogma in this field.”

Background: An NIH-backed clinical trial of hormone therapy’s benefits and risks to prevent chronic diseases like heart disease was halted in 2002 after investigators said the risks of breast cancer, blood clots and stroke outweighed its symptom-relief properties.

[….]

Makary focused a chapter of his 2024 book “Blind Spots” on the controversy, blasting the study’s administrators for misinterpreting the data. He touted recent studies suggesting hormone therapy could cut risks for heart attacks and cognitive decline “better than billion-dollar drugs.”

The asks: The slate of panel speakers that HHS shared with POLITICO features some doctors whom Makary namechecked in his book — and at least two researchers whose analyses of WHI data have supported its safety in younger women closer to perimenopause onset who don’t have underlying risks for heart disease or breast cancer.

It also includes doctors who promote hormone therapy for menopause. At least three speakers serve as medical advisers to a group petitioning the FDA to remove the boxed warning from the label for vaginal estrogen products, arguing that it improperly deters providers and patients from using them. Dr. Janet Woodcock, the agency’s former top drug regulator, rejected a similar petition in 2018, finding that any label changes should be supported by “well-controlled studies.”

[….]

The caution: Diana Zuckerman, president of the National Center for Health Research, disagrees with criticism of the label, arguing it’s “very balanced” because it encourages providers to prescribe the lowest possible dose that works for as short a time as possible.

“That’s good advice for pretty much any pharmaceutical” besides antibiotics, she added.

The process: Zuckerman also expressed concern about the “expert panel” approach Makary has taken since becoming commissioner, especially given Makary’s promotion of hormones’ benefits in his book. The event lacks an open public comment opportunity, and the agency had yet to publicly post the speaker list Monday evening despite sharing it with POLITICO.

“It’s a very one-sided presentation, and interestingly, he criticizes NIH for their study — for being one-sided on how they presented — and he’s really equally one-sided on the opposite side,” Zuckerman said.

To read the entire article, click here  FDA panel to revisit menopausal hormone therapy – POLITICO

MIT Technology Review

Meet Jim O’Neill, the longevity enthusiast who is now RFK Jr.’s right-hand man

By Jessica Hamzelou, July 1, 2025

June 30, 2025

When Jim O’Neill was nominated to be the second in command at the US Department of Health and Human Services, Dylan Livingston was excited. As founder and CEO of the lobbying group Alliance for Longevity Initiatives (A4LI), Livingston is a member of a community that seeks to extend human lifespan. O’Neill is “kind of one of us,” he told me shortly before O’Neill was sworn in as deputy secretary on June 9. “And now [he’s] in a position of great influence.”

As Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s new right-hand man, O’Neill is expected to wield authority at health agencies that fund biomedical research and oversee the regulation of new drugs. And while O’Neill doesn’t subscribe to Kennedy’s most contentious beliefs—and supports existing vaccine schedules—he may still steer the agencies in controversial new directions.

Although much less of a public figure than his new boss, O’Neill is quite well-known in the increasingly well-funded and tight-knit longevity community. His acquaintances include the prominent longevity influencer Bryan Johnson, who describes him as “a soft-spoken, thoughtful, methodical guy,” and the billionaire tech entrepreneur Peter Thiel.

In speaking with more than 20 people who work in the longevity field and are familiar with O’Neill, it’s clear that they share a genuine optimism about his leadership. And while no one can predict exactly what O’Neill will do, many in the community believe that he could help bring attention and resources to their cause and make it easier for them to experiment with potential anti-aging drugs.

This idea is bolstered not just by his personal and professional relationships but also by his past statements and history working at aging-focused organizations—all of which suggest he indeed believes scientists should be working on ways to extend human lifespan beyond its current limits and thinks unproven therapies should be easier to access. He has also supported the libertarian idea of creating new geographic zones, possibly at sea, in which residents can live by their own rules (including, notably, permissive regulatory regimes for new drugs and therapies).

[….]

Not everyone working in health is as enthusiastic, particularly when it comes to any potential changes to drug testing and approvals. If O’Neill still holds the views he has espoused over the years, that’s “worrisome,” says Diana Zuckerman, a health policy analyst and president of the National Center for Health Research, a nonprofit think tank in Washington, DC. 

“There’s nothing worse than getting a bunch of [early-stage unproven therapies] on the market,” she says. Those products might be dangerous and could make people sick while enriching those who develop or sell them. 

“Getting things on the market quickly means that everybody becomes a guinea pig,” Zuckerman says. “That’s not the way those of us who care about health care think.” 

The consumer advocacy group Public Citizen puts it far more bluntly, describing O’Neill as “one of Trump’s worst picks” and saying that he is “unfit to be the #2 US health-care leader.” His libertarian views are “antithetical to basic public health,” the organization’s co-president said in a statement. Neither O’Neill nor HHS responded to requests for comment.

“One of us”

As deputy secretary of HHS, O’Neill will oversee a number of agencies, including the National Institutes of Health, the world’s biggest funder of biomedical research; the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the country’s public health agency; and the Food and Drug Administration, which was created to ensure that drugs and medical devices are safe and effective.

“It can be a quite powerful position,” says Patricia Zettler, a legal scholar at Ohio State University who specializes in drug regulation and the FDA.

It is the most senior role O’Neill has held at HHS, though it’s not the first. He occupied various positions in the department over five years during the early 2000s, according to his LinkedIn profile. But it is what he did after that has helped him cultivate a reputation as an ally for longevity enthusiasts.

O’Neill appears to have had a close relationship with Thiel since at least the late 2000s. Thiel has heavily invested in longevity research and has said he does not believe that death is inevitable. In 2011 O’Neill referred to Thiel as his “friend and patron.” (A representative for Thiel did not respond to a request for comment.)

O’Neill also served as CEO of the Thiel Foundation between 2009 and 2012 and cofounded the Thiel Fellowship, which offers $200,000 to promising young people if they drop out of college and do other work. And he spent seven years as managing director of Mithril Capital Management, a “family of long-term venture capital funds” founded by Thiel, according to O’Neill’s LinkedIn profile.

O’Neill got further stitched into the longevity field when he spent more than a decade representing Thiel’s interests as a board member of the SENS Research Foundation (SRF), an organization dedicated to finding treatments for aging, to which Thiel was a significant donor.

[….]

Longevity science is a field that’s long courted controversy, owing largely to far-fetched promises of immortality and the ongoing marketing of creams, pills, intravenous infusions, and other so-called anti-aging treatments that are not supported by evidence. But the community includes people along a spectrum of beliefs (with the goals of adding a few years of healthy lifespan to the population at one end and immortality at the other), and serious doctors and scientists are working to bring legitimacy to the field.

Pretty much everyone in the field that I spoke with appears to be hopeful about what O’Neill will do now that he’s been confirmed. Namely, they hope he will use his new position to direct attention and funds to legitimate longevity research and the development of new drugs that might slow or reverse human aging.

[….]

Changing the rules

While plenty of treatments have been shown to slow aging in lab animals, none of them have been found to successfully slow or reverse human aging. And many longevity enthusiasts believe drug regulations are to blame.

O’Neill is one of them. He has long supported deregulation of new drugs and medical devices. During his first tour at HHS, for instance, he pushed back against regulations on the use of algorithms in medical devices. “FDA had to argue that an algorithm … is a medical device,” he said in a 2014 presentation at a meeting on “rejuvenation biotechnology.” “I managed to put a stop to that, at least while I was there.”

During the same presentation, O’Neill advocated lowering the bar for drug approvals in the US. “We should reform [the] FDA so that it is approving drugs after their sponsors have demonstrated safety and let people start using them at their own risk,” he said. “Let’s prove efficacy after they’ve been legalized.”

This sentiment appears to be shared by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In a recent podcast interview with Gary Brecka, who describes himself as a “longevity expert,” Kennedy said that he wanted to expand access to experimental therapies. “If you want to take an experimental drug … you ought to be able to do that,” he said in the episode, which was published online in May.

But the idea is divisive. O’Neill was essentially suggesting that drugs be made available after the very first stage of clinical testing, which is designed to test whether a new treatment is safe. These tests are typically small and don’t reveal whether the drug actually works.

That’s an idea that concerns ethicists. “It’s just absurd to think that the regulatory agency that’s responsible for making sure that products are safe and effective before they’re made available to patients couldn’t protect patients from charlatans,” says Holly Fernandez Lynch, a professor of medical ethics and health policy at the University of Pennsylvania who is currently on sabbatical. “It’s just like a complete dereliction of duty.”

[….]

Ultimately, though, even if O’Neill does try to change things, Zettler points out that there is currently no lawful way for the FDA to approve drugs that aren’t shown to be effective. That requirement won’t change unless Congress acts on the matter, she says: “It remains to be seen how big of a role HHS leadership will have in FDA policy on that front.”

A longevity state

A major goal for a subset of longevity enthusiasts relates to another controversial idea: creating new geographic zones in which people can live by their own rules. The goal has taken various forms, including “network states” (which could start out as online social networks and evolve into territories that make use of cryptocurrency), “special economic zones,” and more recently “freedom cities.”

While specific details vary, the fundamental concept is creating a new society, beyond the limits of nations and governments, as a place to experiment with new approaches to rules and regulations.

In 2023, for instance, a group of longevity enthusiasts met at a temporary “pop-up city” in Montenegro to discuss plans to establish a “longevity state”—a geographic zone with a focus on extending human lifespan. Such a zone might encourage healthy behaviors and longevity research, as well as a fast-tracked system to approve promising-looking longevity drugs. They considered Rhode Island as the site but later changed their minds.

Some of those same longevity enthusiasts have set up shop in Próspera, Honduras—a “special economic zone” on the island of Roatán with a libertarian approach to governance, where residents are able to make their own suggestions for medical regulations. Another pop-up city, Vitalia, was set up there for two months in 2024, complete with its own biohacking lab; it also happened to be in close proximity to an established clinic selling an unproven longevity “gene therapy” for around $20,000. The people behind Vitalia referred to it as “a Los Alamos for longevity.” Another new project, Infinita City, is now underway in the former Vitalia location.

O’Neill has voiced support for this broad concept, too. He’s posted on X about his support for limiting the role of government, writing “Get government out of the way” and, in reference to bills to shrink what some politicians see as government overreach, “No reason to wait.” And more to the point, he wrote on X last November, “Build freedom cities,” reposting another message that said: “I love the idea and think we should put the first one on the former Alameda Naval Air Station on the San Francisco Bay.”

And up until March of last year, according to his financial disclosures, he served on the board of directors of the Seasteading Institute, an organization with the goal of creating “startup countries” at sea. “We are also negotiating with countries to establish a SeaZone (a specially designed economic zone where seasteading companies could build their platforms),” the organization explains on its website.

“The healthiest societies in 2030 will most likely be on the sea,” O’Neill told an audience at a Seasteading Institute conference in 2009. In that presentation, he talked up the benefits of a free market for health care, saying that seasteads could offer improved health care and serve as medical tourism hubs: “The last best hope for freedom is on the sea.”

Some in the longevity community see the ultimate goal as establishing a network state within the US. “That’s essentially what we’re doing in Montana,” says A4LI’s Livingston, referring to his successful lobbying efforts to create a hub for experimental medicine there. Over the last couple of years, the state has expanded Right to Try laws, which were originally designed to allow terminally ill individuals to access unproven treatments. Under new state laws, anyone can access such treatments, providing they have been through an initial phase I trial as a preliminary safety test.

“We’re doing a freedom city in Montana without calling it a freedom city,” says Livingston.

Patri Friedman, the libertarian founder of the Seasteading Institute, who calls O’Neill “a close friend,” explains that part of the idea of freedom cities is to create “specific industry clusters” on federal land in the US and win “regulatory carve-outs” that benefit those industries.

A freedom city for longevity biotech is “being discussed,” says Friedman, although he adds that those discussions are still in the very early stages. He says he’d possibly work with O’Neill on “changing regulations that are under HHS” but isn’t yet certain what that might involve: “We’re still trying to research and define the whole program and gather support for it.”

Will he deliver?

Some libertarians, including longevity enthusiasts, believe this is their moment to build a new experimental home.

Not only do they expect backing from O’Neill, but they believe President Trump has advocated for new economic zones, perhaps dedicated to the support of specific industries, that can set their own rules for governance.

[….]

“The notion around so-called freedom cities, with respect to biomedical innovation, just reflects deep misunderstandings of what drug development entails,” says Ohio State’s Zettler. “It’s not regulatory requirements that [slow down] drug development—it’s the scientific difficulty of assessing safety and effectiveness and of finding true therapies.”

Making matters even murkier, a lot of the research geared toward finding those therapies has been subject to drastic cuts.The NIH is the largest funder of biomedical research in the world and has supported major scientific discoveries, including those that benefit longevity research. But in late March, HHS announced a “dramatic restructuring” that would involve laying off 10,000 full-time employees. Since Trump took office, over a thousand NIH research grants have been ended and the administration has announced plans to slash funding for “indirect” research costs—a move that would cost individual research institutions millions of dollars. Research universities (notably Harvard) have been the target of policies to limit or revoke visas for international students, demands to change curricula, and threats to their funding and tax-exempt status.

The NIH also directly supports aging research. Notably, the Interventions Testing Program is a program run by the National Institutes of Aging (a branch of the NIH) to find drugs that make mice live longer. The idea is to understand the biology of aging and find candidates for human longevity drugs.

The ITP has tested around five to seven drugs a year for over 20 years, says Richard Miller, a professor of pathology at the University of Michigan, one of three institutes involved in the program. “We’ve published eight winners so far,” he adds.

The future of the ITP is uncertain, given recent actions of the Trump administration, he says. The cap on indirect costs alone would cost the University of Michigan around $181 million, the university’s interim vice president for research and innovation said in February. The proposals are subject to ongoing legal battles. But in the meantime, morale is low, says Miller. “In the worst-case scenario, all aging research [would be stopped],” he says.

The A4LI has also had to tailor its lobbying strategy given the current administration’s position on government-funded research. Alongside its efforts to change Montana state law to allow clinics to sell unproven treatments, the organization had been planning to push for an all-new NIH institute dedicated to aging and longevity research—an idea that O’Neill voiced support for last year. But current funding cuts under the new administration suggest that it’s “not the ideal political climate for this,” says Livingston.

Despite their enthusiasm for O’Neill’s confirmation, this has all left many members of the longevity community, particularly those with research backgrounds, concerned about what the cuts mean for the future of longevity science.

“Someone like [O’Neill], who’s an advocate for aging and longevity, would be fantastic to have at HHS,” says Matthew O’Connor, who spent over a decade at SRF and says he knows O’Neill “pretty well.” But he adds that “we shouldn’t be cutting the NIH.” Instead, he argues, the agency’s funding should be multiplied by 10.

“The solution to curing diseases isn’t to get rid of the organizations that are there to help us cure diseases,” adds O’Connor, who is currently co-CEO at Cyclarity Therapeutics, a company developing drugs for atherosclerosis and other age-related diseases.

[….]

Trump’s diversity purge freezes hundreds of millions in medical research at universities across the country

 

By Sarah Owermohle, May 8, 2025

Universities across the country are scrambling to comply with President Donald Trump’s anti-diversity push in an effort to hold on to hundreds of millions of dollars in federal grants that fund critical medical research in areas such as cancer and maternal health.

Last month, the Trump administration threatened to cancel medical research funds and to pull the accreditation for universities that have diversity and inclusion programs and that boycott Israeli companies.

The latest moves broaden the anti-DEI mandate that Trump signed just hours into his second term, declaring diversity, equity and inclusion efforts discriminatory.

The administration is locked in a legal battle with Harvard University that on Monday saw officials cut off future funding, escalating a total freeze on $2.2 billion in federal grants directed to Harvard. The university has sued to unlock those funds, a fight that will likely be expensive, and take months to resolve.

Most universities, particularly public and smaller institutions, lack the resources to take up the fight the way Harvard has. Dozens of schools across the country have publicly ended DEI programs and quietly taken down or rerouted websites referencing diversity and equity. Some have more openly acquiesced to the administration’s demands, banning the use of certain words and phrases such as “equality,” “gender” and “White supremacy,” and laying off dozens of university staff.

But those efforts haven’t spared them from mass funding cuts.

At Columbia University, some $250 million in health research grants remain in limbo even after the university made significant policy changes in late March to placate the administration. Leaders at Ohio State University, Vice President JD Vance’s alma mater, acted early to end DEI programs and eliminate 16 staff positions in February, citing Trump’s mandate and a state bill.

But in March, the administration still canceled 10 grants to Ohio State, clawing back $2.4 million in planned spending on HPV and Covid-19 vaccine uptake and separate studies on substance use, suicide risk and PrEP access among different LGBTQ populations.

Starting in February, the US National Institutes of Health terminated roughly 780 research grants that referenced equity, racial disparities, minority health, LGBTQ populations and Covid-19. The canceled grants spanned the country: Roughly 40% were to organizations in states Trump won in November, according to a KFF analysis.

Those have included cuts to research seemingly squarely in line with the stated goals of the Trump administration and US Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., such as studies on autism diagnoses, chronic disease improvements and environmental exposures’ intersection with health.

Besides the immediate impact of frozen research and staff layoffs, scientists and public health experts worry about a chilling effect for health care studies overall. The NIH is the world’s largest public funder of biomedical research, issuing roughly 60,000 grants a year to nearly 3,000 universities and hospitals. That accounts for more than 80% of the agency’s current $48 billion annual budget, although the administration aims to slash that spending by a third next year.

“People are frightened,” said Diana Zuckerman, president of the National Center for Health Research, a nonprofit group aimed at improving health care research. “One of the things that I’ve said to people is, you know, ‘how much can you do what you’ve been doing but just call it something else?’”

That can be a tricky prospect for research on health care issues that disproportionately affect certain populations.

Medical researcher: We should be sharing vaccines with developing world

For instance, the US reports persistently high rates of maternal and infant deaths compared with other high-income countries. There are stark disparities within those figures: Black women are three times more likely to die of pregnancy-related causes than White women.

Researchers and state medical boards attribute those statistics to a range of factors including racial bias, health care access, underlying health conditions and socioeconomic status.

That makes it extraordinary difficult to strip equity, race and risks for certain populations from questions about maternal health care and other research, experts say. Whether it’s new mothers’ postpartum survival, HIV prevention in LGBTQ populations or higher risk of aggressive breast cancer in Black women, many studies necessitate a focus on the people most affected, those experts say. The NIH cut research in all those areas.

“There’s real issues here that could be better understood and responded to, and lives could be saved, but only if you study them – and only if you understand what you’re studying,” Zuckerman said.

Beyond hundreds of grants citing words such as equity, disparities, gender, minority, LGBTQ populations or race, the NIH also canceled spending on Covid-19 outreach, vaccination and messaging.

“HHS grants will only go to the most qualified applicants and will not adhere to ideological requirements or discriminatory quotas,” an HHS spokesperson said in response to questions about the canceled grants.

The mass culling of NIH grants has even stoked concern among Republican leaders who argue that the US could slide in medical innovation and world leadership with the combined funding cuts, mass layoffs and agency shakeups.

“We must not lose sight at what is truly at stake here,” Sen. Susan Collins, a Maine Republican, said during a Senate Appropriations hearing last week. “If clinical trials are halted, research is stopped and laboratories are closed, effective treatments and cures for diseases like Alzheimer’s, type 1 diabetes, childhood cancers and Duchenne muscular dystrophy will be delayed or not discovered at all.”

Maternal health and the DEI battle

In 2023, the NIH launched a $168 million initiative across 10 universities to improve maternal health care.

In March, the agency canceled funding to two of them.

Columbia University, one of the 10 maternal health centers in the mass NIH project, was one of the first schools ensnared in grant freezes and a public battle with the Trump administration.

But the broad grant cancellations also caught the Morehouse School of Medicine, part of a historically Black university in Atlanta, Georgia, a state with some of the worst maternal mortality rates in the country.

Along with Georgia’s Emory University, Morehouse stood up a program focused on improving pregnancy and postpartum care for Black women. There was $1.6 million remaining in the $2.9 million grant when the NIH cut funding. Morehouse School of Medicine President Valerie Montgomery Rice stood fast against anti-DEI efforts in February, telling local radio station WABE that “diversity, equity and inclusion, as it relates to health, is not a political term.”

[….]

“The reason that we knew that we were having disparities in our maternal outcomes is because we started disaggregating the data. We started looking at the outcomes for Black women and White women and Hispanic women,” said one OB/GYN researcher focused on maternal mortality. “If we’re not measuring it, we won’t do anything to improve, because we won’t know. It’s almost like sticking our heads in the sand.”

The researcher asked that their name not be used because they are affiliated with one of the still-funded maternal health programs and are fearful that research could be cut next. Although many of the remaining universities in the program have publicly ended their DEI programs, none feel safe, the person said.

[….]

 

MAHA priorities amid NIH cuts

Dozens of the cancellations seemingly clash with Kennedy’s vision for a healthier America with fewer chronic illnesses, researchers said. Those include at least two research projects aimed at autism, two focused on diabetes and others on cancer research in rural and underserved areas, and disparities in long-term chronic disease outcomes. In most cases, the grants explicitly mentioned a minority population, equity or disparities in care.

Many of those researchers were years, and thousands to millions of dollars, into their projects: Some were ending soon anyway, and had just a fraction of their grants left to spend.

[….]

Ohio State’s 10 canceled grants include one focused on substance use and associated chronic illnesses across sexual minorities in urban and rural areas. Of the nearly $173,000 grant, just $538.11 was left to be disbursed, according to federal data. The grant was cancelled on March 21; it was scheduled to end 10 days later.

[….]

At the Tulane School of Medicine, the $16 million grant for the maternal health center was untouched in March funding cuts. However, the administration did axe the remaining funding, roughly $279,000, for a $4.2 million grant to study lupus progression in Black Americans. Tulane also lost funding for research on Covid-19 treatment in cancer patients.

The medical school has since quietly removed and rerouted diversity pages on its website. The psychiatry department’s page on equity, diversity and inclusion now says that the content is unavailable: “Some content is currently under review to ensure compliance with the latest federal guidelines and executive orders.”

The president of Tulane University announced in a message to students and faculty on March 13 that it would transition its DEI program into a new “Office of Academic Excellence and Opportunity” to comply with federal law. Diversity pages now reroute to that site.

[….]

Read original article here.

Tougher Approval Standards May Follow Vinay Prasad’s Appointment To Lead US FDA’s CBER 

By Sarah Karlin-Smith, May 7, 2025


The US Food and Drug Administration’s announcement of Vinayak “Vinay” Prasad as the new director of the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research may signal a major philosophical shift in the data required to approve medical products, particularly cell and gene therapies. 

FDA Commissioner Martin Makary announced the pick of Prasad, a hematologist and oncologist, in a 6 May email to staff obtained by Pink Sheet. Prasad most recently worked at the University of California, San Francisco, as a professor of epidemiology and biostatistics. 

Prasad will replace Peter Marks who resigned from FDA rather than be fired in late March

[….] 

Will Prasad Nix Makary’s ‘Provisional’ Pathway? 

Prasad also has a long track record of criticizing the agency for making it too easy to get drugs on the market, raising concerns about the accelerated approval pathway and recent gene therapy approvals, such as Sarepta’s Elevidys (delandistrogene moxeparvovec-rokl). 

He has supported randomized controlled studies with hard clinical outcomes even as the FDA, including Marks, embraced more flexible approaches, particularly for rare diseases. 

Whether Prasad’s views can align with Makary’s recent proposal for a new ‘plausible mechanism’ pathway for rare disease drugs is unclear. 

Prasad’s history, which includes criticism of the FDA and pharma’s close working relationship, worries industry. 

His appointment “seems counter,” to Makary’s discussions in recent weeks about reforming the drug approval process, particularly for rare diseases, said Nicole Paulk, CEO and Founder of Siren Biotechnology, which is developing gene therapies for cancer. 

“Based on [Prasad’s] books that he’s written and the tweets that he has shared, and podcast that he has been on and all of these various public forums, it would seem to be that his position, kind of broadly regardless of modality is pretty anti-FDA, fairly anti-innovation, fairly anti-accelerated anything,” Paulk told Pink Sheet. 

Investor Misunderstanding About CDER, CDER Product Oversight 

The news of Prasad’s appointment sent biotech stocks plummeting. 

A 6 May analyst note from William Blair suggested investors may be confused about the products regulated by CBER and the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research. The analysts said they do not believe there is a risk to the existing development path for most oncology drugs, which are overseen by CDER. 

For cell and gene therapies, “there are clearly outstanding questions and increased uncertainty now as we wait to see whether Dr. Makary or Dr. Prasad will have more impact on the guidelines and regulatory development requirements for these novel therapies, particularly in rare diseases,” the analysts wrote. “Dr. Makary has been vocal since being confirmed as commissioner for more accelerated approval opportunities in the cases of ultrarare diseases or therapies with overwhelming efficacy.” 

Prasad’s appointment also likely will add to the negative sentiment in the vaccine space, they added. 

A Triumph For Evidence Over Hope? 

Many critics of the FDA’s approval standards hope Prasad’s appointment will lead to tougher approval standards. 

“Like us, Vinay has led several impactful research projects raising concerns around surrogate markers and their lack of association with meaningful clinical outcomes, particularly in oncology,” said Reshma Ramachandran, co-director of the Yale Collaboration for Regulatory Rigor, Integrity and Transparency. “He also similarly expressed concerns around the previous CBER Director’s decision to override multiple scientific and technical review teams to approve Elevidys despite lack of evidence of its efficacy. Hopefully, this is a sign that in his new role, he will listen to his scientific review staff in making regulatory decisions.” 

“I think very highly of him,” said Diana Zuckerman, president of the National Center for Health Research. She suggested that Prasad’s track record suggests someone who would not allow products on the market simply because patients lack any treatment, unlike Marks. 

“I understand the desire to be responsive to patients’ needs and desire to have hope for a new treatment, but I think it does patients no favor to give them false hope by approving treatments that end up being extremely expensive and not only ineffective, but they don’t follow through with the required post-marketing testing,” Zuckerman said. “So for years they end up on the market with companies that make a lot of money off of them and patients who don’t benefit at all or are harmed financially, physically or both.” 

Ethan Perlstein, CEO Of Perlara, a biotech public benefit corporation developing treatments for rare genetic diseases, said the negative reaction to Prasad comes from “traditional bio” because they dislike a person as outspoken as Prasad who “can’t be controlled in some way or is not beholden to them or to anybody.” 

Perlstein said he understands why many in the industry see Prasad as a “chaos agent,” but added that he appreciates Prasad demonstrating that he is “not beholden to anybody except his principles,” and seems willing to evolve. 

Has Prasad Changed? 

Other medical experts who raised concerns about Prasad’s views on COVID-19 and other vaccine issues in recent years acknowledged that before 2020 they liked many of his stances, such as requiring more rigorous follow up on oncology drugs after accelerated approval. 

But they were not confident that Prasad still existed. 

[….]

“He started out criticizing the COVID vaccines and I think a lot of it is audience capture,” said David Gorski, a professor of surgery and oncology at Wayne State University and editor of the blog Science Based Medicine. “As he drifted into more contrarian positions, he got more likes, clicks praise, as a brave truth teller.” 

[….] 

Gorski suggested Prasad is a victim of what he calls “evidence-based medicine fundamentalism,” which is “if it isn’t a randomized placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial, it’s crap,” Gorski said. 

[….]

To read the entire article, click here

CPTF Public Comment Regarding the FDA’s Draft Guidance for the Study of Sex Differences in the Clinical Evaluation of Medical Products

April 7, 2025

[Docket No. FDA-2024-D-4245]


Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the FDA’s Draft Guidance for the Study of Sex Differences in the Clinical Evaluation of Medical Products. The National Center for Health Research has conducted research on this issue for decades and our comments today build on the findings of that research.

We strongly support most of the FDA’s proposed guidance, but we note that the agency has attempted to improve the representation of women, older Americans, and racial and ethnic minorities for many years but has fallen short. We have scrutinized this proposed guidance and are providing several suggestions that we respectfully encourage the FDA to implement.

Meaningful Representation of Males and Females and Major Demographic Subgroups

First and foremost, the agency should not focus entirely on increasing females but rather focus on ensuring males and females be substantially represented in all studies of medical products that will be used by males and females. Just as women have historically been underrepresented in studies of treatments for heart disease and several other illnesses, males have been underrepresented in studies of weight loss products and implants that are used by both males and females, for example. We therefore agree with the statement that “For diseases or conditions that can occur in both females and males but rarely occur in one of the sexes in actuality, avoid arbitrary exclusion criteria that prohibit participation based on sex.” It is not sufficient that males and females in the studies be represented in proportion to their likely use of the product; instead, meaningful representation requires that sufficient numbers of patients of the underrepresented sex (or demographic group) be included so that they can be statistically analyzed separately, and the statisticians can draw conclusions about safety and effectiveness for members of each sex.

We agree that sex differences should be the focus, rather than gender differences. We also agree with the importance of enrolling females and males of different ages, races, ethnicities, co-morbidities, and hormonal statuses. For example, when males or females are taking any form of sex hormones for whatever reason (birth control, menopausal symptoms, low testosterone, or due to gender preference), it may be necessary to analyze those groups separately to see if the hormonal treatments affect sex differences. If there are too few to analyze these subgroups separately, the indication on the product label should make it clear that the data may not apply to patients in those subgroups.

We agree with the proposed guidance that companies should analyze and interpret sex-specific data to hormonal and other changes with age, for products used by adults of all ages. Ideally, researchers should first analyze the data separately by sex to see if there are age differences in safety or effectiveness.

Encouraging Rather Than Requiring Meaningful Representation

Unlike other U.S. public health agencies, the FDA merely “encourages representation of females (or other demographic groups) in clinical trials submitted to the FDA” rather than requiring representation. As a result, major demographic groups have often been under-represented in clinical trials submitted to the FDA (Fox-Rawlings et al., 2018). The FDA has justified this lower standard by stating that the studies submitted to the FDA are paid for industry, rather than the U.S taxpayer. However, the U.S. taxpayer pays for the treatments that the FDA approves, even when those treatments are not studied on patients that meaningfully represent the U.S. population. Therefore, encouraging rather than requiring representation is potentially misleading and unsafe for the patients who are not meaningfully represented. At the very least, the FDA should improve the incentives for companies to comply with the recommendations by ensuring that labeling indicates which types of patients were not reliably studied, and limiting the indication to the sex (and age groups, etc.) for whom safety and effectiveness data are reliably provided. 

We support the FDA Draft Guidance statement that sponsors “must submit a diversity action plan with goals for study enrollment, disaggregated by sex, among other demographic characteristics.” Unfortunately, diversity action plans do not always result in achieving the goals intended. We agree with the FDA’s list of ways “to improve the recruitment, enrollment, and retention of females in clinical trials” but believe they are also suitable for improving recruitment of men of all ages as well.

Trial Design

We agree with the initial statement of the draft guidance regarding trial design: “For most drugs and devices, males and females should be included in clinical trials in numbers adequate to allow for reliable benefit-risk assessments and to understand any potential sex related differences in medical product response.” 

However, we strongly disagree with the Draft Guidance’s strong focus on determining if a product is safer or more effective for one sex than the other, because that does not matter to patients. What matters to patients is whether the product is statistically significantly safe and effective compared to placebo or other treatments. In other words, there is no reason why a woman would care if a product is more effective for men that for women as long as it is beneficial in a clinically meaningful way for females. Similarly, why would any man care if a product is safer for women than men, if its benefits outweigh the risks for both? Rather than analyze men and women together and separately and then determine if it is safe and effective for both, as the guidance suggests, it would introduce less bias to start with the smaller number of study participants in each sex and if each has statistically significant benefits that outweigh the risks, then it is not necessary to combine males and females. If those benefits are not statistically significant compared to placebo but suggest meaningful benefits, then the men and women can be combined to see if together the results are statistically significant or not. 

We disagree with the draft suggestion that only where sex differences “are anticipated, there should be sufficient numbers to inform reliable benefit-risk assessments in males and females.” Since, it is often unanticipated or unknown whether there will be sex differences, there should always be sufficient numbers of males and females to provide meaningful data. 

Statistical Concepts

We agree that “Analyzing sex differences in medical product performance is an important component of assessing product safety and effectiveness and can inform what goes in the product labeling to improve patient care.” We also agree that “Sex is [only] one of many potential demographic characteristics typically evaluated in subgroup analyses of a clinical trial or non-interventional study.’ We agree that when many subgroup analyses are performed, some will be statistically significant by chance, and that different effects between males and females may be due to other factors associated with sex, such as age and weight. These must be taken into consideration when multiple statistical analyses are performed.

Reporting Results of Analyses 

We support the requirement that sponsors “must include in their annual reports for drug and biological products conducted under an IND, the number of participants entered into the study to date tabulated by age group, sex, and race, and sponsors must present safety and effectiveness data in the clinical data section of an NDA by sex, age, and racial subgroups. Because the enrollment demographics of the clinical study may impact the generalizability of the conclusions, for clinical studies of devices, the FDA recommends that sponsors report the number and proportion of study participants by sex.” We also agree that “Any potential difference by sex should be investigated, explained, and discussed with the Agency.” 

We agree that the labeling should specify the safety and effectiveness of any product separately for males and females of different demographic subgroups when available, and we add that the labeling should specify when those subgroup analyses are not available.

Other General Considerations 

We reiterate that if a product is not proven safe and/or effective compared to placebo or a different treatment, that information should influence the indication. The Draft Guidance suggests that such differences “may potentially be further explored in a study after approval” and that the FDA can require a postmarketing study when applicable criteria are met.” We strongly disagree with this laissez-faire approach, because it can result in years of inappropriate or ineffective treatment for males or females when other treatments might be more beneficial. Therefore, when there is evidence that a product is not safe or not effective for females, or for males, additional research should be conducted before approval.

For example, in our study of high-risk medical devices, we examined publicly available documents for all 22 medical devices that the FDA designated “highest risk” or “novel,” that were reviewed through the premarket approval (PMA) pathway, and were scrutinized at the FDA public meetings from 2014 to 2017 (Fox-Rawlings et al., 2018).1 We evaluated patient demographics and subgroup analyses for all pivotal trials. Although 20 were intended for men and women, the number of patients in the minority gender was only 1 in one study and half the studies included less than 35% of the minority gender. Only 6 (33%) of the devices included subgroup analysis by sex for safety and 13 (72%) included subgroup analysis by sex for effectiveness. One of the devices, the Lutonix drug-coated balloon catheter used to reduce blockage in the leg, was effective for the total patient sample, but that was because it was effective for men. Women assigned to the Lutonix study arm had slightly worse outcomes than women in the control arm of the study; the artery remained sufficiently dilated a year after the procedure for just over half the women. Nevertheless, the FDA approved this high-risk device for women as well as men. The FDA required a post-market randomized study, but the sponsor said it was unable to enroll a sufficient number of patients. Subsequent data continued to indicate female Lutonix patients did not do as well as male patients, but no publicly available studies indicate if non-drug eluting catheters are superior to Lutonix using real life data. Lutonix continues to be approved for female as well as male patients.

Our study indicated that the frequent lack of subgroup analyses makes it impossible to inform patients or physicians as to whether many newly approved medical devices are safe and effective for specific demographic subgroups defined by gender, race, and age. However, even when the analyses indicated that the women did not benefit from a high-risk device, it was approved by the FDA for women and men anyway.

References

1 Fox-Rawlings, S. R., Gottschalk, L. B., Doamekpor, L. A., & Zuckerman, D. M. (2018). Diversity in Medical Device Clinical Trials: Do We Know What Works for Which Patients?. The Milbank quarterly96(3), 499–529. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.12344

2 U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (n.d.). PAS 1 (Extended Follow-up Study) [Post-Approval Studies Database]. https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cdrh/cfdocs/cfpma/pma_pas.cfm?c_id=&t_id=524729

3 Becton, Dickinson and Company. (n.d.). Lutonix™ Drug Coated Balloon PTA Catheters: Clinical Data. BD. Retrieved April 7, 2025, from https://www.bd.com/en-us/products-and-solutions/products/product-families/lutonix-drug-coated-balloon-pta-catheters#clinicaldata

National Center for Health Research Comment on USPSTF Draft Recommendations on Cervical Cancer Screening

 1. Based on the evidence presented in this draft Recommendation Statement, do you believe that the USPSTF came to the right conclusions?

  • Yes; I believe the USPSTF came to the right conclusions.
  • Somewhat; I believe the USPSTF came to the right conclusions in some ways but not in others.
  • No; I do not believe the USPSTF came to the right conclusions.
  • Unsure; I am not sure if the USPSTF came to the right conclusions.

Somewhat; I believe the USPSTF came to the right conclusions in some ways but not in others.

2. Please provide additional evidence or viewpoints that you think should have been considered.

Our main disagreement is that our review determined that the data are insufficient to conclude that HPV is superior to cytology for women ages 30-65, taking into consideration all patient outcomes, including diagnosis, overtreatment, survival, psychosocial impact, and costs.

We agree with the USPSTF statements about the high sensitivity of HPV testing, but the USPSTF statement underemphasizes the anxiety and overtreatment for women with a positive HPV test result from a transient infection. The major disadvantage of HPV testing is that a positive HPV result for women from 30-65 years is likely to result in a colposcopy. We therefore question whether HPV testing should be considered preferable to Pap cytology, since the two have comparable effectiveness for many women and Pap cytology avoids diagnosing transient HPV infections. Moreover, while HPV testing can identify more precancerous lesions earlier, its impact on reducing invasive cancer and improving survival is unclear and may depend heavily on follow-up care and screening adherence.

The ARTISTIC trial (Kitchener et al., 2009) found that HPV testing was more sensitive than cytology for detecting CIN3+ lesions in the initial round of screening. However, it did not demonstrate a significant reduction in invasive cervical cancer rates by the second round. Castle et al. (2018) demonstrates that while HPV testing detects more high-grade lesions earlier, it does not significantly reduce invasive cervical cancer rates or improve survival outcomes. Similarly, McCredie et al. (2008) demonstrated that while many high-grade lesions progress to invasive cancer if left untreated, a significant proportion regress spontaneously. These studies suggest that while HPV testing can identify more precancerous lesions earlier, its impact on reducing invasive cancer and improving survival may depend heavily on follow-up care and screening adherence.

In contrast, a pooled analysis looking at the results of 4 studies with a total of more than 170,000 patients, Ronco et al. (2014) found that HPV-based screening significantly reduced the incidence of invasive cervical cancer compared to cytology alone over a 6.5-year period.  The fact that patients enrolled in these 4 studies lived in Europe and Scandinavia could explain why these findings seem to contradict the Kitchener, Castle, and McCredie trials cited in our previous paragraph. It is possible that HPV testing may be more effective than cytology in countries where health care is free and very widely available. Overall, the results suggest that the incremental benefit of HPV testing over cytology is unclear but may be strongest in countries where access to care is not limited. These results do not justify considering it the preferred option for women between the ages of 30 and 65 in the U.S., given the increased costs, uncertain access to follow-up care, psychological stress, and patients’ desire to avoid the cost of potentially unnecessary procedures.

The importance of follow-up care is evident in studies like Dillner et al. (2008), which emphasized the critical need for systems to manage HPV-positive results effectively in order to avoid unnecessary interventions without compromising cancer prevention. Since colposcopies are invasive and more expensive and anxiety-producing than a cytology test, we strongly urge the USPSTF to specify that if HPV is used as the primary test, a positive HPV result should be followed by cytology as the next step before proceeding to colposcopy. This approach is supported by international guidelines such as those in the Netherlands and Australia. Specifically, the Dutch program incorporates cytology as a triage step following a positive HPV test to reduce unnecessary colposcopies, while maintaining sensitivity for clinically significant lesions (Rijkaart et al., 2012). Similarly, Australia’s National Cervical Screening Program transitioned to primary HPV screening with reflex cytology for non-HPV16/18-positive cases to improve cost-effectiveness and patient outcomes (Lew et al., 2017). Similarly, in the four countries studied by Ronco et al, for women whose initial screening was an HPV test, if the results were positive that was followed by cytology rather than colposcopy. If the cytology test was negative despite the positive HPV test, the women underwent a follow-up HPV test approximately one year later. These strategies show that cytology offers a balanced approach to triage, reducing unnecessary referrals after a positive HPV test, while maintaining detection rates.

In addition, the USPSTF draft does not sufficiently address the impact of self-collected HPV samples in real-world settings. Studies like Arbyn et al. (2014) and Polman et al. (2019) highlight logistical barriers, accuracy concerns, and the importance of robust follow-up systems.

References

Arbyn M, Verdoodt F, Snijders PJ, et al. Accuracy of human papillomavirus testing on self-collected versus clinician-collected samples: a meta-analysis. Lancet Oncol. 2014;15(2):172-183. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(13)70570-9

Castle PE, Kinney WK, Xue X, et al. Effect of Several Negative Rounds of Human Papillomavirus and Cytology Co-testing on Safety Against Cervical Cancer: An Observational Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med. 2018;168(1):20-29. doi:10.7326/M17-1609

Dillner J, Rebolj M, Birembaut P, et al. Long term predictive values of cytology and human papillomavirus testing in cervical cancer screening: joint European cohort study. BMJ. 2008;337:a1754. Published 2008 Oct 13. doi:10.1136/bmj.a1754

Kitchener HC, Almonte M, Gilham C, et al. ARTISTIC: a randomised trial of human papillomavirus (HPV) testing in primary cervical screening. Health Technol Assess. 2009;13(51):1-iv. doi:10.3310/hta13510

Lew JB, Simms KT, Smith MA, et al. Primary HPV testing versus cytology-based cervical screening in women in Australia vaccinated for HPV and unvaccinated: effectiveness and economic assessment for the National Cervical Screening Program. Lancet Public Health. 2017;2(2):e96-e107. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30007-5

McCredie MR, Sharples KJ, Paul C, et al. Natural history of cervical neoplasia and risk of invasive cancer in women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 3: a retrospective cohort study. Lancet Oncol. 2008;9(5):425-434. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(08)70103-7

Polman NJ, Ebisch RMF, Heideman DAM, et al. Performance of human papillomavirus testing on self-collected versus clinician-collected samples for the detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2 or worse: a randomised, paired screen-positive, non-inferiority trial. Lancet Oncol. 2019;20(2):229-238. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(18)30763-0

Rijkaart DC, Berkhof J, Rozendaal L, et al. Human papillomavirus testing for the detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and cancer: final results of the POBASCAM randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol.2012;13(1):78-88. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(11)70296-0

Ronco G, Dillner J, Elfström KM, et al. Efficacy of HPV-based screening for prevention of invasive cervical cancer: follow-up of four European randomised controlled trials [published correction appears in Lancet. 2015 Oct 10;386(10002):1446. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00411-0]. Lancet. 2014;383(9916):524-532. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62218-7

3. How could the USPSTF make this draft Recommendation Statement clearer?

  • USPSTF’s statement should acknowledge and take into account the psychosocial and economic impacts of unnecessary colposcopies, particularly for low-income and underserved populations.
  • UPSTF should review and include well-designed studies on invasive cancer and survival outcomes tied to HPV testing versus cytology, or clearly state that such data are unavailable or inconclusive. Detection alone is not a meaningful endpoint without demonstrated survival benefits.
  • USPSTF should provide clearer guidance on triage pathways, emphasizing cytology as the next step after a positive HPV result instead of immediate colposcopy.

4. What information, if any, did you expect to find in this draft Recommendation Statement that was not included?

  • A more comprehensive review of comparative data on invasive cancer and survival for HPV testing and cytology as primary screening strategies.
  • More nuanced recommendations for women over 65, which consider individual risk factors such as new sexual partners or immunosuppressive conditions.
  • Greater detail on the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of implementing self-collected HPV testing in the U.S. in the real world, not just in research or clinical settings, including follow-up protocols to prevent gaps in care.

5. What resources or tools could the USPSTF provide that would make this Recommendation Statement more useful to you in its final form?

The USPSTF could enhance the utility of this Recommendation Statement by providing:

  1. Decision-making algorithms or flowcharts for clinicians and patients that clearly outline the steps following various screening outcomes (e.g., HPV-positive, cytology-positive, or combined). This would be particularly helpful in reinforcing the role of cytology as a triage step before colposcopy.
  2. Cost-effectiveness analysis summaries comparing different screening strategies (e.g., HPV testing alone, Pap cytology alone, and co-testing) in terms of cancer detection, survival outcomes, and healthcare utilization.
  3. Guidance on self-collection implementation, including best practices for ensuring accuracy and follow-up care, particularly for underserved populations.
  4. Risk calculators or interactive tools to help patients better understand their individualized risk and the potential benefits or harms of different screening intervals or modalities.

6. The USPSTF is committed to understanding the needs and perspectives of the public it serves. Please share any experiences that you think could further inform the USPSTF on this draft Recommendation Statement.

From a clinical perspective, patients often express significant anxiety about abnormal HPV results, particularly when the next step involves immediate colposcopy. This underscores the need for clear communication about the low risk of invasive cancer in many HPV-positive cases and the rationale for using cytology as an intermediate triage tool. Additionally, underserved populations face barriers such as lack of follow-up after abnormal results or inadequate access to colposcopy services. Unfortunately, when patients are concerned about cost or access associated with a positive HPV test, they may delay follow-up until their condition is much worse. In such cases, the absence of robust systems for patient navigation exacerbates disparities in cervical cancer outcomes.

Based on our experiences with patients, it is especially essential to integrate follow-up protocols into any recommendations involving self-collection or HPV primary screening.

7. Do you have other comments on this draft Recommendation Statement?

Yes, there are additional points to consider:

  1. The Recommendation Statement could benefit from a stronger focus on survival outcomes rather than cancer detection alone. Current evidence does not consistently demonstrate that HPV testing translates into better survival outcomes compared to cytology. For example, the ARTISTIC trial found no significant reduction in invasive cancer rates despite increased lesion detection with HPV testing (Kitchener et al., 2009).
  2. The USPSTF should provide greater emphasis on individualized screening decisions, especially for women over 65, where risk factors like recent sexual activity or changes in immune status may necessitate continued screening despite adequate prior testing.
  3. To ensure equitable care, the Statement should explicitly address the logistical challenges of access to colposcopy and to implementing self-collected HPV testing in real-world settings, including the importance of integrating results into electronic health records (EHRs) and ensuring timely follow-up.
  4. Lastly, the draft should clarify the USPSTF’s position on triage pathways for HPV-positive results. Cytology following HPV-positive results should usually serve as an intermediate step before colposcopy, and should be described as the preferred strategy after a positive HPV because it is  more cost-effective and patient-centered.